Get Andrew Strauss Early

If Strauss, who is on 64 not out in the present Test, makes another 36 runs, he would have made 19 centuries against 14 fifties. That would raise his conversion rate to 58%, making Strauss mid-way between Bradman and the rest of the competition. This is an astounding conversion rate, all the more so because it is over a career of 65 Tests, not an anamoly of playing a few Tests and having a purple patch.

On the other hand, Strauss’s career average is a respectable, but not outstanding 45.09. The contrast between this average and his tendency towards centuries is very stark. So what is going on here? Well, here is a graph to explain that:

strauss-scores-breakdown

Strauss has been dismissed for single digits every fourth innings and under 20 every third innings. Talk about early nerves. Once he crosses 50, the game changes. He is still more likely to fall in the 50′s or 60′s, but he has only fallen once in his 70′s and 80′s. And as every cricket fan now knows, he is getting that century.

Ominously for Australia, Strauss seems to have overcome his very early jitters recently. His last single digit score was almost 15 innings ago. He is still making those scores in the teens. Australia need to come up with a plan to find out how they can take him out early, otherwise he is going to stick there and the Ashes will stick with him.

Only Don Bradman Above Andrew Strauss?

Q has a chart for batsmen that shows the number of conversions from 50s to 100s with minimum qualification of 15 centuries. Michael Vaughan ranks No. 7 on the list. The top of the list is unsurprisingly headed by Don Bradman with 29 centuries and 13 fifties, giving a conversion rate of 69%.

But guess who is second on the list? It is Andy Strauss with 17 tons and only 14 fifties – a conversion rate of 54.8%. Kevin Pietersen is third with 53.3%. No other current player is on the list. Incredible!

Someone else who didn’t qualify for the list, but exhibits the same trait is Ravi Bopara. Here are his last 6 innings: 0, 0, 0, 104, 143, 108.

What this shows is that Australia better make sure that they get Strauss, Bopara and Pietersen early on. Alastair Cook (9 centuries, 19 fifties) not so much, though he could be hanging around with a 30 or 40 each time to give Strauss enough support for a strong opening partnership.

It is also interesting to note that this time, Australia have a Flintoff-like figure in their side: Mitchell Johnson. Their relative performances (if Flintoff gets to play) may turn out to be decisive.

Humor of the Day

TootingTrumpet with the latest Strauss Tapes:

“Anyway, the other reason I’m calling is to ask you for Sarah Taylor’s phone number. No, not like that, I’m a married man… it’s for Matt. No! He’s a married man too! Andy reckons Matt could learn a few things from her. Just minor technical wicket-keeping things. He mentioned standing up and standing back, moving the feet, head and hands, catching, leading the fielding effort, concentration, stumpings… maybe one or two others, I’m not sure. Thanks”

Read the whole thing.