Ishant Sharma’s Powerful Godfather

Recently, I had a chat with Gaurav of BCC! fame about India’s terrible tour of Australia. One thing that came up was why everyone was talking about axing the seniors, but no one talked about the terrible form of Gambhir (now 181 runs at 22.62) and Ishant (now 5 wickets at 90.20). Since this chat was just after the Perth match, I commented that Ishant only took one wicket for 89 runs even though it was the place where he first rose to prominence after his famous spell against Ricky Ponting. I casually looked at the scorecard of that match and, lo and behold, I discover that Ishant had only taken 3 wickets in that entire match and two of them were Ponting in either innings, who had, including that Test, only made 120-odd runs in 6 innings in that series.

It amused me that, as a more-than-casual follower of cricket, even I was fooled by the hype surrounding Ishant’s spell that I totally forgot that he only took 3 wickets in a match that India won. Gaurav commented how odd it is that people remember him for a spell; typically, we remember bowlers for a Test or a series where they took a bunch of wickets and won matches. On my side, how it is that four years later, we remember a bowler for one spell he did four years ago. And how is he still in a national cricket team with a career bowling average of 37.87 with only 133 wickets after 45 Tests with only decent averages against West Indies, Bangladesh and New Zealand?

The only explanation is that he has some powerful Godfather protecting him. Conspiracy theory alert! But how else could you explain an article like this in Cricinfo, which suggests:

  • Ishant is more unlucky than untalented.
  • In a series where he has been the most expensive (other than Yadav), a cross-section of 20 overs where he only gave away 52 runs proves something. (Remove those overs and he gives away close to 4 runs an over)
  • Although he has been criticized for not bowling wicket-taking balls, those criticisms do not matter because Mike Hussey has a great opinion about him. Also Ricky Ponting. (Has it occurred to people that even Australians may not like kicking people in the family jewels when they are down and totally useless?)
  • Yadav owes his wickets to Ishant, who could be getting those Yadav wickets if only he was bowling differently such as bowling “the ball that got Ricky Ponting’s edge when it held its line four years ago” (that spell again!)

And today with Daniel Brettig with the amazing line, “Ishant Sharma has been a man more sinned against than sinning almost all tour“. Sinned against? By whom? Australia not willing to gift their wickets? Indian fielders not at the positions where the ball is being hit? The umpires not willing to say okay to his appeals? God not answering Ishant’s prayers?

It is time for Ishant to go. He is only 23. If he has talent, he has more than enough time to make a comeback. If not, better for India and some other aspiring fast bowler.

Sachin Tendulkar and Ricky Ponting

Sometime back, I tried to analyze whether Ricky Ponting could overtake Sachin Tendulkar in Tests. At that time, the stats stood at

Player Tests Runs Avg 100s Age Comparison
Tendulkar 157 12499 54.58 41 - 4 tons ahead
Ponting 131 10948 56.43 37 -1y 8m 1551 runs behind

Today, it stands at

Player Tests Runs Avg 100s Age Comparison
Tendulkar 166 13447 55.56 47 - 8 tons ahead
Ponting 142 11859 55.67 39 -1y 8m 1588 runs behind

Ponting still looks in striking distance of Tendulkar’s total run aggregate. Assuming that he plays for two years after Tendulkar retires, he only has to get some 800-odd runs a year. Since Australia plays more Tests than the average nation, this is somewhat easy. Consider that in 2009, Ponting only scored at a poor average of 38.77, but because Australia played 13 Tests, he ended up scoring 853 runs for the year. You will also notice that Ponting has played two more Tests than Tendulkar in the same period. But if Ponting overtakes Tendulkar, it is also likely that Kallis will overtake Ponting very quickly. So it would probably be a very short reign at the top.

Overtaking the number of centuries Tendulkar scored looks more iffy. Since the beginning of 2007, Ponting has only scored 6 centuries. On the other hand, no one expected Tendulkar to go on a ton-hitting spree at age 36. So Ponting may be able to tap something similar. Also, India’s Test calendar looks barren at this point while Australia have Test matches lined up against New Zealand, Pakistan and England for this year, so that 8-ton deficit could see some reduction. All the other contenders are way behind at this point.

On the ODI side, there is simply no comparison. Tendulkar is so far ahead that there is no credible rival for the top spot (runs, centuries) for the near future.

ODI Giants Falling Down

Does anyone remember who played the final match of the last one-day World Cup? The leading teams at that time, Australia and Sri Lanka, are in a miserable state, one staring down an embarrassing series defeat to New Zealand and the other, even worse, trying to avoid a 5-0 whitewash. Both of them at home in their strongholds. What a way for giants to fall.

This blog has had a lot to talk about Australia’s decline with the retirements of their top players and Sri Lanka’s unhealthy obsession with playing the minnows. Australia’s bad fortunes were expected, but not to this extent. But if you want to draw a line in time, the Sydney Test against India would be it. Before that Test, Australia were invincible. Australia won that Test on the basis of many questionable umpiring decisions and a last-minute effort by a part-time bowler (who will probably never replicate that).

For all the excitement of winning a close Test, the victory enraged the Indians who were not too subtle about calling the Australians and their captain cheaters. Many in the press did not like the final celebrations and some called for Ponting’s head. It is understandable to receive bad PR after a loss, but to have it after a win is pitiful and demoralizing. I would surmise that Australia were never the same again. After that Test, Australia lost the next one. They went on to lose the Test series in India and both the Test series and the ODI series at home.

With the bubble of invincibility bursted, smaller opponents are no longer in awe of them. New Zealand, never an Australian bunny, are now ready to dish out some tough treatment. Last time, we called for the Australians to take a break. Well, Ricky Ponting look one, but he has decided to come back in the next ODI. This is stupidity at its extreme. There is little upside and potentially a lot of downside to Australia.

Consider this: If Australia, without Ricky Ponting, lost this series, it could be blamed on Clarke’s captaincy and the team’s poor batting. The bowling has done a good job, if not exactly winning matches. If they now lose the series, there are no scapegoats to blame and no knight in shining armor to save them. They will have to accept that they are just not that good, and that is not enough confidence to fight the South Africans in their own den. And you have to wonder what Ponting’s return will do to Clarke, one of their in-form batsmen. This is deja vu for Australia. Hussey lost his captaincy after losing to NZ (a series where Australia’s bowlers did them in), and then had a long, poor run of form.

Regarding Sri Lanka, we should have predicted this. They barely won the Triangular Tournament in Bangladesh, after losing once to them in the group match and then barely defeating them in the final. They also lost a match against Pakistan before coming back strongly. Our favorite Sri Lankan minnow bully, Dilshan, is, as expected, sleeping on the job with a 19.25 batting average against the Indians. Soon enough, the Bangladeshis or Kenyans will return and Dilshan will be back in form.

The biggest reason behin the Indian victories has been the neutralization of the Sri Lankan 2Ms. Murali and Mendis have just taken 6 wickets in 4 matches. This is Mendis’s worst series to date (51.66 average and 5.34 runs/over), and a bad omen for the future. If the Indians have learnt to pick him, surely other teams will know that he can be handled. He has to practise some new tricks or a bright flame for the Lankans will be snuffed quickly.